(Post updated to include results from the game. Wagered $120 and got back $140. Lost $15 on three $5 boxes. Net gain: five whole dollars! But 500 cents sounds way more impressive.)
Online sports books have become big business, but not because of me. In fact, I'd forgotten I had $120 left in my account from after last year's Super Bowl.
Here's how I sprinkled that around for Sunday's game...
Steelers -4 Over Seahawks, -120, Bet $60 to Win $50
The -120 line sucks Matchbook.com is offering +101 on that wager, which would net me an extra $10 with a win but I'm not in the mood to open accounts I'll never use.
Anyway, you know from my preview that I'm big on the Steelers on Sunday. It just feels like one of those, "Well, I wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers won big or close, or if the Seahawks won close. But I'd be surprised if the Seahawks won big." To me, that rationale is worth more than 4 points.
RESULT: WINNER! Steelers win, 21-10, in a game so ugly I'm not even sure you can sell DVDs of it in Pittsburgh. I still don't know how a favorite covers when its QB throws up a 22.6 rating.
Steelers -10½ Over Seahawks, +200, Bet $10 to Win $20
Eh, could make for an interesting fourth quarter, even if the Steelers are up double-digits. Just a few bucks to try to double.
RESULT: WINNER! Late pick keeps the lead at 11.
Shaun Alexander's First Rushing Attempt - Under +4½ Yards, -120, Bet $10 to Win $8
If the MVP doesn't break a 5-yarder on his first attempt and I'm thinking two yards and a wall of white my next 1½ beers are paid for.
RESULT: LOSER! The fucker gets 8 yards on a sweep. This was a fun bet, though. Gotta look for more of these next year.
Willie Parker Rushes for 21½ More Yards Than Maurice Morris in the First Half, -130, Bet $20 to Win $15
I never even heard of Morris till I researched this wager. He rushed for 288 yards in 16 games this season. That works out to 9 yards per half. Parker rushed for 1,388 yards, or 43 yards per half. Advantage: Parker, even with the Bettis homecoming and laying the nearly 21½ yards. Now go out there and bust one, Fast Willie.
RESULT: LOSER! Morris never touches the ball, and Parker finishes with 93 rushing yards 82 in the second half, including a 75-yard touchdown on his first touch after a pathetic 11-yard first half.
Tracy McGrady to Score 7 More Points Than Matt Hasselbeck Has Completions, -120, Bet $20 to win $17
This is the most fun one, because it starts with a noon NBA game and doesn't end till Hasselbeck is on his back around 10 p.m. ET.
Let's start with my prediction for Hasselbeck's performance. I can see one of those typical losing-QB lines like 20-38, 244 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs.
In order to tie that, McGrady would need to score 27 points, exactly his average.
But here's the kicker: McGrady and the Rockets visit the Knicks. The fucking Knicks! He's gonna score 50, and Hasselbeck's gonna need 43 completions.
RESULT: LOSER! McGrady was gunning, launching 26 field goals. Hasselbeck finishes with a 67.8 rating. This bet's a blowout, right? Right, but not for me. McGrady hits only nine field goals, misses both 3-point attempts and collects five free throws for 23 points. Hasselbeck airs it out 49 times and completes 26.
And the Wagers I Passed On: The first song the Rolling Stones play at halftime (couldn't find credible online rumors), the color of the sports drink to be dumped on the winning head coach (not sure which flavors these teams preferred) and like 500 more.
(Note to any FBI-employed readers: As usual, $ signs are used because of their familiarity with value. In reality, I wagered only "credits," not U.S. dollars.)
I doubt that T.J. Simers reads this site, but how coincidental that his L.A. Times column on Sunday mentioned the two BetOnSports.com props that I highlighted here: the Stones' first halftime song and the color of drink to be dumped on the winning coach:
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-simers5feb05,1,3142268.column
Maybe a press release went out or something, but I just picked those out scanning about 500 potential wagers.
Update on McGrady: He went 9-of-26 from the field, hit no 3-pointers, made 5 of 7 free-throw attempts and finished with a disappointing 23 points. At least he was gunning.
Posted by Paul Katcher at February 5, 2006 4:04 PM