In other words, proceed with caution.

One thing you won't find in the postseason, along with the Chargers — and thank god I no longer have to hear about how good that third-place, 9-7 team was — is a great bargain. These spreads are all right where they should be and, aside from one heavy favorite, we're looking at three games that are basically coin fips.

Here's where I think the coins will land:

Saturday's Games:

WASHINGTON (10-6) at TAMPA BAY (11-5), 4:30 p.m., ABC
I was all ready to give some thoughtful analysis on this game, till I saw that the broadcast trio of Mike Patrick, Joe Theismann and Paul Maguire will be calling it, akin to being all psyched for the start of spring break, then getting snowed in at the airport.

Well, at least this gives you one last chance to play my ESPN Sunday Night Football drinking game. Did you hear their call last Sunday, when they slurped each other to no end and made it seem like ESPN's 19 years of Sunday night broadcasts was remotely in the same league as ABC's MNF?

Can you even recall a Sunday Night Football moment? Aside from being ordered to "watch his feet!" 1,000 times? Maybe Emmitt Smith stumbling for that career rushing record when we know Barry Sanders would have had him dusted if he didn't retire. It was like cheering for an old cow to pump out its 10,000th gallon of milk before being turned into a bunch of steaks.

Or Jamal Lewis not getting that season rushing record even though he had 27 carries in a 2003, meaningless, 13-10 loss to the Steelers at home, another indictment of how manipulated and lame a lot of these NFL season records are. (Aside from B-More fans, I think maybe three people were rooting for Lewis, and their last names are Patrick, Theismann and Maguire.)

As for this game, I go with the division winner at home.

Redskins Cheerleaders | Buccaneers Cheerleaders
Spread: Tampa Bay by 2½
Paul's Pick: Buccaneers 24, Redskins 20

JACKSONVILLE (11-5) at NEW ENGLAND (10-6), 8 p.m., ABC
Earlier this week, Tom Brady said that the Patriots were the most disrespected team in the league. Lets dissect:

The Patriots were underdogs in only 5 of 16 games this year: at Pittsburgh (win by 3), at Atlanta (win by 3), at Denver (lose by 8), against Indianapolis (lose by 19) and at Kansas City (lose by 10).

New England was favored to win 11 of 16 games. They won 10 total. The "most disrespected" team in the league didn't meet the expections the public had for them on a week-by-week basis, injuries included. So, kiss my ass on that pathetic rallying cry.

That being said, I don't bet against the Pats at home in the postseason. No way.

Jaguars Cheerleaders | Patriots Cheerleaders
Spread: New England by 7½
Paul's Pick: Patriots 28, Jaguars 17

Sunday's Games:

CAROLINA (11-5) at N.Y. GIANTS (11-5), 1 p.m., FOX
Did you know the Giants are one of only five teams in NFL history to have five players (Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey, Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer and Brandon Jacobs) score at least seven touchdowns? The others are the 1950 Rams, 1966 Chiefs, 1985 Chargers and 2004 Chiefs.

But Jacobs' TDs were all pretty much crap. They were really Tiki's TDs, so it's not like Jacobs is another weapon or anything.

You know where my heart lies on this game. I'll be in attendance for my fourth Giants game this year and, let me tell you, that crowd is a big reason the G-Men went 8-1 at home this season.

Injuries concern me. The secondary really concerns me. But I love Tiki. I really do like Manning when it counts; he may not carry you, but he's a smart cookie. And I like the crowd's effect on the D-line. Can't see the Giants ending the season at home.

Panthers Cheerleaders | Giants don't have cheerleaders
Spread: New York by 2½
Paul's Pick: Giants 24, Panthers 21

PITTSBURGH (11-5) at CINCINNATI (11-5), 4:30 p.m., CBS
Great game to end the first playoff weekend, and everyone's on the Steelers here. The line moved two points since it opened at Pitt -1, and that's huge. Vegas is gonna open three more huge hotels if Cincy pulls this one out, and let me flip the coin here ... tails, Bengals win it.

That might be a little optimistic with that defense, but they did pop the Steelers in the mouth once this season. I don't think they'll be spooked.

Bengals Cheerleaders | Steelers don't have cheerleaders
Spread: Pittsburgh by 3
Paul's Pick: Bengals 27, Steelers 24