Let's recap my picks last week: The Vikings blew their load on the S.S. Floating Chicken Ranch and got bent over by the Bears. The Patriots dropped to 0-2 for me in 2005, after I pimped their invincibility against the Broncos. And the Steelers' Tommy Maddox threw the game away, literally, against the Jags, who sport a defense better than any he saw in the XFL.

This week, I vow to turn things around. Anything less than a 2-1 record, and you won't see another pick till the playoffs. Sorry for those who are smartly betting against me.

Here are the bets I think are strongest among the Week 7 lines.

(Home teams in CAPS)

Packers (-2) over VIKINGS
Last week I was on the Vikings' jock like a stripper with floaties. But they gave me sea sickness, and so I'm going with the Packers, who actually play with pride and have had two weeks to prepare for these bums after destroying the Saints, 52-3, in Week 5.

49ers (+12½) over REDSKINS
When the Colts were in San Fran a couple of weeks ago, they were giving only two points more than the Redskins, who many agree could just as easily be 0-5 as they are 3-2. They've played a tough schedule, but only bankable teams should be laying almost two touchdowns in the NFL.

This pick might be stronger if I were more confident in the 49ers scoring more than three points.

FALCONS (-7) over Jets
What are the odds of Al Michaels making this statement with about two minutes left in the fourth quarter Monday night?

"Well, the Jets played their hearts out tonight, but that touchdown run by Michael Vick makes it a two-possession lead for the Falcons, and that should pretty much wrap it up."

I'd say about 4,000 percent.

Last Week: 0-3
Season: 7-11

Please post your own best bets in the comments section.