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Friday, September 30, 2005

Bank Shots: My Locks for NFL Week 4
You're probably saying to yourself, "The Yankees are getting ready for their biggest regular-season series since 1995, and this guy's giving us more shitty football picks?"

I'll do a wrap on the Yanks regular season however it ends on Sunday, Monday or Tuesday, but there's no way I'm gonna predict what happens between now and then.

Predict what's gonna happen in a Yanks-Sux series? Are you kidding me?

Let's just hope for the best, because if David Ortiz is making clutch putts on the golf course next week, we're gonna have some party here on PK.com.

Anyway, here are the bets I think are strongest among the Week 4 lines.

(Home teams in CAPS)

Jets (+7) over RAVENS
Baltimore is averaging 8½ points of offense in two games, is starting Anthony Wright at quarterback, and its favored by a touchdown. Makes sense to me!

Yeah, I know the Jets are starting Brooks Bollinger, but did you see that game he had against UNLV in 2002? 12 of 24, 157 yards and 2 TDs. Needless to say, I was impressed.

Colts (-7) over TITANS
The Colts have given up a total of 16 points in three games, no one is even mildly concerned that the offense hasn't quite clicked yet, and confidence in them has never been higher.

And they're giving up no more points than Anthony Wright and the Ravens.

You know the offense is gonna explode at some point. In fact, that's probably the single-most popular phrase in Indy right now. Even if it doesn't this week, a TD ain't too much for this team to cover. 24-14 can get that done, too.

When is Colts -7 not a good pick? Almost never.

Texans (+9½) over BENGALS
What do I know about the Texans? They play in Houston, fired their offensive coordinator after their last game and have had two weeks to prepare for this one. That's about it.

So I have total confidence in this pick, based on the simple fact that I don't lay 9½ points with a franchise that hasn't been to the playoffs since 1990.

And also because I refuse to pick against my Giants, who are probably not three points better than the Rams, and may allow Marc Bulger to throw for 750 yards.

Last Week: 1-2
Season: 3-6

Please post your own best bets in the comments section.

Category: Sports | Permalink | Post a Comment (2)


Comments: Bank Shots: My Locks for NFL Week 4

In the PK.com pool I think I picked practically every road team. Typically thats not too smart. We'll see.

Posted by Fletch at September 30, 2005 2:08 PM

Okay, I've been rather pathetic with my 3-6 overall record as well (1-2 last week). So here we go again...

San Francisco +2.5 vs. Arizona

I can't believe I'm picking the 49ers. But how can the Cardinals possibly be the favorite here? They've looked terrible all year long and they're on to their 2nd QB. The Niners have actually won a game and should have beaten the Crygirls, too. And don't be fooled by this "home" game for Arizona. The game is being played in Mexico.

Minnesota +6 vs. Atlanta

Minnesota is a bad football team. Atlanta is a good football team. So why am I picking the Vikings? Well, one Falcon DB is out for the year and two others come into the game injured. That's not a recipe for success against a Vikings offense that finally got on track last week.

Buffalo E vs. New Orleans

New Orleans has had a serious problem holding onto the football this year. Buffalo excels at turning people over. And yet again, we've got a "home" team playing hundreds of miles from home.

Posted by CJ at October 1, 2005 4:09 PM
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