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Sunday, March 14, 2004

NCAA Basketball Tournament Analysis and Predictions
Like drinking in the daytime? Is your boss a prick? If you answered yes to either question, welcome to the week of your dreams.

Work on that fake cough Monday and Tuesday at the office, hack around till your coworkers are completely grossed out, and plant the seeds for sick days that will bring with it all-day St. Patrick's Day parties on Wednesday, followed by the 32 first-round games of March Madness on Thursday and Friday. Worry about S&P indexes and P/E ratios next week. This week's acronyms are NCAA and FUBAR.

The NCAA Tournament field of 65 is set, and here are some story lines to follow (besides liquid lunch specials in your area):

St. Joe's: Least-Respected No. 1 Seed Ever: Most people think the Hawks deserved a No. 1 seed, but they'll be absent from just about everyone's Final Four picks. Billy Packer is basically a dead man if he ever steps foot on the Philadelphia campus, and Mel Gibson didn't have to defend his work as much as coach Phil Martelli did Sunday night. I love when live TV gets testy. Reminds me of when Mel Kiper Jr. blasted the Colts for drafting Trev Alberts over Trent Dilfer, and Indianapolis GM Bill Tobin fired back by saying, "Who the hell is Mel Kiper? My mailman knows more about the draft than he does."

Let's All Kiss the ACC's Ass! Five teams among the top 16 seeds? What, they couldn't fit them all in? I'm waiting for someone to say Florida State would go undefeated in the Big 12. North Carolina was 8-9 in conference play and got rewarded with a 6 seed, which means they're ranked between 21-24 nationally. What do the Tar Heels have to do to not be ranked? I can bitch all I want about Maryland getting a 4 seed after losing 9 of its first 15 conference games, before getting hot for one week, but a second-round matchup looms with my national champs. Talk is cheap until then, hopefully.

Show More Vitale/Hooters Commercials! I'm not entirely sure ACC-lover "Dukie V." understood that people were actually going to see these goofy spots. When Cue Ball says to the Hooters Air stewardess, "But I'm a captain, baby!" I want to tell him to keep it in the bedroom, but I'm laughing too hard. Have you ever seen a 64-year-old man so happy to get served a plate of chicken wings? Tiki Barber (jerk chicken restaurant) and Jason Giambi (Old Spice deodorant) have been knocked down a notch on the list of Sports Personalities Humiliated by Bad Commercials.

Bobby Knight to Blow a Gasket? Is there a single person outside of Lubbock, Texas, who isn't penciling in Charlotte and laughing giddily at the prospects of another live-TV meltdown by General Robert Montgomery Knight? Happens every year.

Potential Second-Round Matchups: As fun as the first round typically is, the second round is even better, as reps from the stronger conferences go head-to-head. Some great potential weekend matchups include: Providence (Big East) vs. Kansas (Big 12), Florida (SEC) vs. Wake Forest (ACC), Duke (ACC) vs. either Seton Hall (Big East) or Arizona (Pac-10), Louisville (C-USA) vs. Mississippi State (SEC), Syracuse (Big East) vs. Maryland (ACC), DePaul (C-USA) vs. UConn (Big East). Michigan State vs. Gonzaga would be flat-out huge in terms of how it affects perception of the Big Ten and mid-majors.

My Final Four Picks: I like Kentucky to get past Kansas and Georgia Tech in the St. Louis bracket. Pittsburgh over Oklahoma State and Wake Forest in the East Rutherford bracket. Duke over Cincinnati and Texas in Atlanta. And Connecticut over N.C. State and Stanford in Phoenix.

(Post your picks in the comments area below.)

Category: Sports | Permalink | Post a Comment (21)


Comments: NCAA Basketball Tournament Analysis and Predictions

Oh no. Dick Vitale just gave his Final Four picks and they match mine. This can't be good.

Posted by Paul Katcher at March 14, 2004 10:05 PM

Not surprisingly, the guys on the SU hoops message board are going crazy over what they perceive as ACC bias at ESPN. This comment was funny:

"ESPN gurus picked 5 of the 6 ACC teams to go to the Elite 8. If that happens, I will walk to Duke naked."

More here:

http://www.syracuse.com/forums/orangebasketball/

Posted by Paul Katcher at March 14, 2004 10:32 PM

Well, I was hoping Florida State would squeak in...

Gonzaga, Wake Forest, Duke, UConn.

Posted by lucy at March 14, 2004 10:32 PM

GO JASPERS....KILL FLORIDA!

Posted by Tequila Dave at March 15, 2004 6:55 AM

Looks like our schools are on a collision course to meet in the second round in a battle of the last two champs. Let me know where your minions from the 'Cuse will be and Terp Nation will be there. Then you will see the awesome power of the ACC up close! O'Doyle rules. Fear the Turtle.

Posted by Conch at March 15, 2004 9:33 AM

I did my bracket last night and got this: Kentucky, Wake Forest, Mississippi State, and NC State, with NC State winning. I hadn't had anything to drink in 24 hours either. I had to redo it like 5 times. I couldn't believe how I came to that conclusion.

Posted by McGuire at March 15, 2004 12:17 PM

Pitt is going to have a difficult time making it out of the second round, strictly because they have to face Wisconsin in Milwaukee. I'm guessing at least 12,000 of the 18,000 fans will be pulling for Bucky Badger.

While the Big Ten had a lot of mediocre teams this year, the three at the top (Wisconsin, Illinois and Mich. State) are pretty good.

Posted by Joe DiGiovanni at March 15, 2004 3:34 PM

SU is going to be in the house again - like a MUTHA! My roomies are Maryland alum so the fecal matter is going to hit the fan if we find ourselves playing them on Saturday. I am 'Cuse class of 95 so I say bring it on....

Gary Williams v. Coach B Hmmmm!

Ashley

Posted by at March 15, 2004 4:58 PM

Pitt got the royal shaft. First, there's no way they should be a 3 seed. Second, like Joe said above, they might have to play Wisconsin up there.

Posted by Cory at March 15, 2004 5:52 PM

Cory,
I was at the Bradley Center tonight for the Marquette game and found out each team only gets 350 tickets. That means on Sunday there will only be about 1,000 or so non-Badgers fans in the stadium... big trouble for Pitt.
In addition, several of Wisconsin's better players, including Big Ten Player of the Year Devin Harris, are from Milwaukee and are very comfortable in the Bradley Center, playing not only Marquette there every other year, but also playing high school games there.
The Panthers got screwed, and need to play great to get through the second round.

Posted by Joe DiGiovanni at March 16, 2004 1:22 AM

Thanks for the info Joe. It's obviously not good news to my ears, but I like knowing what Pitt is up against. Hey, the tourney is going to be pretty interesting based on the selections.

Posted by Cory at March 16, 2004 3:01 PM

It should be a great tournament. I'm really looking forward to going to the Pitt-Wisconsin game on Sunday, although I think BC-Ga. Tech on Sunday and Utah-BC on Friday also will be good games. Adding in Marquette in the NIT and the Bucks tonight, I'm going to eight basketball games in seven days. What a deal!

Posted by Joe DiGiovanni at March 16, 2004 3:24 PM

I'm living in Buffalo now, but I can't justify going to the games here without Pitt playing. Wish I could be up there.

Posted by Cory at March 16, 2004 4:50 PM

My Final Four, right under the wire: Kentucky, Pittsburgh (though I really wanted to be the only guy in the country to pick St. Joe's, and was very close to taking Wisconsin to beat Pittsbutgh), Texas, NC State.

Posted by Ken Goldstein at March 18, 2004 12:05 PM

Oh, right...Kentucky over NC State for the title.

Posted by Ken Goldstein at March 18, 2004 12:07 PM

Kentucky
Pitt
Duke
UConn

UConn brings it home!
Syracuse beats MD, but can't handle Stanford.

Big East all the way!

Posted by amy at March 18, 2004 9:39 PM

Hey, interesting site. Do you realize that you haven't mentioned much about Gonzaga? Final Four should see them, or can you pony up a good argument to the contrary? The team truly is one, and those guys have nary a weakness. They're destined to be reckoned with... somewhere in the last couple games, and maybe in the Final. I think they'll lose the championship, but still, that's nothing to catch SARS over, y'know. It's going to show they are more deserving than Joe's Bakery and some of the teams without the same depth, who nevertheless have the big-school hype factor in their ever-loving favor. Yeah, those are my two cents. What's your call?

Kent
Gui Lin, China

Posted by Kent at March 18, 2004 10:06 PM

What was that about Gonzaga?

Posted by Cory at March 21, 2004 11:18 AM

I can't believe people picked NC State for the Final Four. I'm an NC State student, and I know they're not getting past UConn.

Anyway, I picked Duke, Kentucky, Pitt and Syracuse to play in San Antonio, with Duke beating Kentucky. I had a tough time picking 'Cuse over UConn, but I love the Orangemen's 1-2 punch of McNamara and Warrick, and I think Okeafor's back will start acting up again.

Posted by Greg at March 21, 2004 2:18 PM

Cory, Paul, et al.

Still tasting the fried crow feast on the bewildering performance of those 'Zags. What can I say... they wouldn't give me tickets to watch the home games, simply because of the cost of international airfare, or I might've been less enthusiastic. Oh well. The good news is, I care substantially more about horse racing and football, and last year's Kentucky Derby hit on the trifecta. Howevah, be good gentlemen and prohibit me from ever tossing up a basketball bet for more than about sixpence, hey? Thanks! Enjoy the Finals... the NFL Draft looms closer... and I think Gonzaga won't boast quite as many first round picks taken as Miami, just a hunch.

Kent
Gui Lin, China

Posted by Kent at March 24, 2004 3:16 AM

This year has been such a disappointing year in college hoops. Nearly all of the powerhouse teams this year have had upsets. I can't believe Kentucky lost to UAB. Should have never happened.

Posted by chad at March 27, 2004 9:41 PM
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