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Monday, January 19, 2004

Manned Mission to Mars: Worth $120 Billion?
Last week, President Bush proposed a space plan that included manned missions to the moon and Mars between 2015 and 2020. The cost by 2020: only $120 billion, or about as much as the Mets wasted on Mo Vaughn.

I don't know about you, but I was more excited when the Yankees made it to the World Series last October than when the Spirit Rover made it to Mars and sent back the highest-resolution panoramic photo ever of the Red Planet, which bears a distinct resemblance to Arizona. I swear I keep looking out for a lonesome hot dog truck. It's dazzling and all, but the Joy of Painting guy gave us some good shit, too.

There's been a lot of debate about whether manned space exploration is the wisest expenditure of 12-figure funds, but it's interesting to note that the Apollo program of the 1960s and early 1970s cost $150 billion to $175 billion in 2003 dollars. I don't know many who think the initial space race was a waste of time, even though the benefits were almost exclusively political. And so, too, seems the reason for being the first to Mars: politics. Divided by 250 million Americans, a $120 billion price tag in 2020 comes to $480 a person, not much higher than the 2003 $300 tax credit Bush detractors thought was a drop in the bucket.

If a Mars mission inspires people, even subliminally, to reach a little higher than they thought possible, then maybe it's worth it. Would be nice if someone else shared the bill, though. But then they couldn't call the U.S. arrogant.

Mars Links:

'Get Your War On' Mars Cartoon — My favorite political strip shows characters arguing the value of manned space missions. Asks one man, "Who are we fighting on Mars? Wait, lemme guess — TERRORISTS."

Why We Shouldn't Go To Mars — Gregg Easterbrook writes in TIME that a manned mission to Mars does not yet make technological sense. He also argues: "If Mars proponents want to raise $600 billion privately and stage their own expedition, more power to them; many of the great expeditions of the past were privately mounted. If Mars proponents expect taxpayers to foot their bill, then they must make their case against the many other competing needs for money. And against the needs for health care, education, poverty reduction, reinforcement of the military and reduction of the federal deficit, the case for vast expenditures to go to Mars using current technology is very weak."

61% of Americans Oppose Bush Space Plan — Even among members of Mr Bush's own Republican Party, 48 percent opposed the plan.

Surviving a Trip to MarsNewsday details the logistical and health-related hurdles of such a voyage.

Category: News | Permalink | Post a Comment (6)


Comments: Manned Mission to Mars: Worth $120 Billion?

I'm a bit torn on the Mars thing. On the one hand, I think we should continue to support the exploration of space.

On the other, we're already having enough trouble paying for the exploration of Iraq.

Something's gotta give.

Posted by bhw at January 19, 2004 10:22 AM

I agree with BHW, space exploration is worth the cost, but we are not in the financial position to do it right now. Let's spend some money on education so people end up with the analytical skills - so they realize that just because they got a tax cut, doesn't mean the country is doing well and they should reselect a moron.

Posted by amy at January 19, 2004 11:20 AM

Quite a bold statement, Amy. While I agree with the overall notion, the moron part is a bit immature and baseless. I respect being able to surround yourself with brilliant people. But obviously this type of debate is going to become more commonplace throughout the year.

Posted by Cory at January 19, 2004 3:10 PM

I've got a better idea than funding this $120 Billion Kodak moment on a barren landscape...

There's one of me in Bryce Canyon that'll look the same. And for a nominal fee - say $100K - I'd be happy to burn ten million $100 bills on CSPAN, and save taxpayers $119 Billion.

Posted by Ed at January 19, 2004 3:54 PM

I personally think that President Bush is better served to put money into public education and health care than to fund an incredibly expensive space mission.

Posted by Sejal at January 25, 2004 9:11 PM

President Bush should have pulled a JFK and committed a similar money-is-no-object effort towards a FULL realization of clean, abundant energy (fusion, hydrogen, or something we haven't developed yet, take your pick).

As for education, it should be a GIVEN that we lavish the young with everything they need to learn.

Mars can wait. We can't.

Posted by jb at February 7, 2004 1:57 PM
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